Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002472 0.002621 0.002779 0.002963 0.003170 0.003399 0.003674
2025-04-20 0.002159 0.002346 0.002555 0.002811 0.003119 0.003485 0.003964
2025-04-27 0.002019 0.002236 0.002489 0.002813 0.003227 0.003753 0.004505
2025-05-04 0.001946 0.002193 0.002490 0.002886 0.003420 0.004151 0.005301
2025-05-11 0.001858 0.002118 0.002440 0.002884 0.003509 0.004414 0.005971
2025-05-18 0.001818 0.002099 0.002457 0.002966 0.003719 0.004888 0.007145
2025-05-25 0.001747 0.002034 0.002405 0.002947 0.003774 0.005127 0.007987
2025-06-01 0.001673 0.001959 0.002334 0.002891 0.003765 0.005252 0.008650
2025-06-08 0.001646 0.001945 0.002345 0.002954 0.003948 0.005757 0.010505
2025-06-15 0.001615 0.001923 0.002340 0.002992 0.004096 0.006233 0.012735
2025-06-22 0.001563 0.001869 0.002287 0.002950 0.004096 0.006404 0.014183
2025-06-29 0.001509 0.001809 0.002223 0.002885 0.004048 0.006461 0.015284
2025-07-06 0.001464 0.001762 0.002179 0.002853 0.004067 0.006698 0.017736
2025-07-13 0.001387 0.001670 0.002063 0.002699 0.003841 0.006307 0.016505
2025-07-20 0.001357 0.001641 0.002041 0.002697 0.003906 0.006655 0.020254
2025-07-27 0.001347 0.001640 0.002059 0.002763 0.004112 0.007448 0.031251
2025-08-03 0.001321 0.001615 0.002038 0.002760 0.004180 0.007890 0.044535
2025-08-10 0.001315 0.001618 0.002061 0.002836 0.004425 0.009020 0.139096
2025-08-17 0.001287 0.001589 0.002033 0.002817 0.004460 0.009457 0.769529
2025-08-24 0.001254 0.001551 0.001989 0.002766 0.004414 0.009570 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001247 0.001550 0.002003 0.002824 0.004631 0.010920 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001235 0.001542 0.002005 0.002859 0.004803 0.012270 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001208 0.001511 0.001970 0.002820 0.004779 0.012590 NaN